I have been reading a classic account of the 1918 flu epidemic Pale Rider: The Spanish Flu of 1918 and How it Changed the World by Laura Spinney and among many other great quotes I found this one:

trust is not something that can be built up quickly. If it is not in place when a pandemic declares itself, then however good the information being circulated, it probably won’t be heeded.

It would be an in interesting study to look at the SARS-CoV-2 reproduction rates in different countries and to correlate it with trust. Possibly made complicated by authoritarian countries where the trust might be low but the government can impose the restrictions.


My two The Conversation articles have now been republished:

Our article about the possible future trajectories of COVID-19 epidemic has been translated into Dutch and published on the Small Stream Media website in the Netherlands.

The article about vaccination has now been republished in the PoliticsMeansPolitics Magazine.

Glad the views are being seen both nationally (UK) and internationally.